USDA estimates Canada wheat production for marketing year (MY) 2022/23 at 33.8 million metric tons (mmt), up 52 percent over last year and 10 percent above the 5-year average.

Harvested area is estimated at 10.1 million hectares, 10 percent from last year, and 6 percent above the 5-year average. Yield is estimated at 3.35 metric tons per hectare (t/ha), up 38 percent from last year.

Statistics Canada (StatCan) recently published its November field crop production estimates, indicating a substantial rebound in wheat production from last year’s crop, primarily on increased area and improved growing conditions in the Canadian Prairies. The satellite-derived Percent of Average Seasonal Greenness (PASG) analysis shows cumulative crop conditions through the summer growing season. The PASG highlights the normal to above-normal crop conditions in the major spring wheat growing areas.

One exception, however, has been southwestern Saskatchewan, a primary durum wheat growing area, which received limited rainfall in July. The PASG shows the below-average crop conditions in this area. Durum wheat yields, as reported by StatCan, were 16 percent below average (omitting MY 2021/22 as an outlier due to drought). Whereas spring wheat yields were slightly above average. Durum wheat accounts for 16 percent of the total wheat crop.