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Articles in Market Analysis Category

09 May 2025 8 min reading

MARKET ANALYSIS

Brazil and Argentina: Emerging strong in agri trade war markets

Yes, Brazil and Argentina are poised to gain market share as China moves away from U.S. suppliers, particularly for agricultural products like soybeans, corn, and meat.

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08 May 2025 9 min reading

MARKET ANALYSIS

U.S. tariff dominoes: Can Black Sea grain catch what the U.S. drops?

In this special feature, ASAP Agri’s Chief Analysts Inna Stepanenko and Kateryna Mudriian unpack the evolving dynamics in U.S. -China trade and examine whether the Black Sea region — particularly Ukraine, Russia, and Romania — is ready to step in and fill the gap left by the U.S. absence in Chinese imports, or whether South America will ultimately capture the lion’s share of demand.

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11 April 2025 7 min reading

MARKET ANALYSIS

U.S. tariffs reshape global grain trade: A deepening divide

As the U.S. reinstates tariffs on key trading partners, the global grain market is facing unprecedented disruptions. With escalating trade tensions and retaliatory measures from Canada, China, and Mexico, the U.S.'s once-dominant position in global grain exports is now under threat.

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10 March 2025 7 min reading

MARKET ANALYSIS

Ukrainian Grain Match: Turkey scores in corn, Spain holds the wheat line

Ukraine’s grain export flows have undergone significant shifts this season, with Turkey emerging as a major buyer of Ukrainian corn, while Spain’s share has dropped significantly.

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05 February 2025 17 min reading

MARKET ANALYSIS

A rocky road for Ukraine’s wheat in second half of 2024/25: Russia’s quota, stiff competition & import barriers

After a strong export performance in the first half of the 2024/25 marketing year, Ukraine’s wheat shipments now face mounting challenges.

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16 December 2024 15 min reading

MARKET ANALYSIS

Grain market in 2024: Resilience amid turbulence

The grain market of 2024 was a journey through highs and lows, marked by shifting trade policies and unpredictable weather that tested the industry’s resilience.

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01 November 2024 9 min reading

MARKET ANALYSIS

China’s 2024/25 corn imports: Low-lower-the lowest?

The corn season 2024/25 has started in Ukraine. The country is waiting for Chinese demand, but there are no signs of revival. In the 2023/24 MY (October-September), China already reduced its imports of Ukrainian corn to 4.6 MMT vs 5.5 MMT in the previous season.

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10 October 2024 7 min reading

MARKET ANALYSIS

Turkey’s new wheat import rules & world weather woes

Implementation of Turkish wheat import ban on 21 June 2024 was a heavy bearish factor for Black Sea wheat and freight market.

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06 September 2024 8 min reading

MARKET ANALYSIS

Ukrainian wheat export: From tradition to transition

Ukraine has faced significant challenges in maintaining its traditional markets in North Africa, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia – particularly in Egypt, Turkey, and Indonesia – since the onset of the war.

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09 August 2024 10 min reading

MARKET ANALYSIS

Upcoming barley trends or how to ride the wave?

The prospects of Ukrainian barley export in 2024/25 MY may seem quite gloomy from the point of view of potential buyers’ demand, as such key destinations like Spain and China may reduce purchases.

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11 July 2024 8 min reading

MARKET ANALYSIS

Turkish wheat import ban pressed prices beforehand harvesting

On 06 June 2024, the government of Turkey introduced a ban on wheat import for the period from 21 June 2024 to 15 October 2024. The measure is taken to protect local farmers during the harvesting period.

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13 June 2024 6 min reading

MARKET ANALYSIS

USDA forecasts record wheat production amid declining trade and stocks

According to the USDA’s May ‘Grain: World Markets and Trade’ report, the global wheat outlook for 2024/25 forecasts record production and consumption but lower trade and contracting ending stocks.

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