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Erhan Özmen, one of the most respected figures in the Turkish flour industry, said Türkiye’s 2026 wheat outlook could mark a turning point for the country’s grain balance, with strong production prospects and sizeable carryover stocks raising the possibility that Türkiye may enter the ranks of wheat-exporting countries.

Global wheat production is expected to fall from last season’s exceptional level in 2026/27, but total supply will remain historically high, Alexander Karavaytsev, Senior Economist at the International Grains Council, told the International Grain Forum in Novi Sad.

World wheat flour trade is set to decline for a second straight year in 2025/26, dropping to 16.0 million tonnes ((wheat equivalent), a four-year low, as structurally weaker demand in Iraq and Sudan reflects a broader shift toward domestic milling and wheat grain imports.

Dmitri Rylko, Director of Moscow-based IKAR, told TUSAF delegates in Antalya that a surging ruble, rising logistics costs and an unusual quality mix are slowing Russia’s wheat export pace—so far reaching only 62% of its export potential.

“If growth in average yields matches recent trends, and assuming normal weather, global grain produ...

“Turkish flour industry is in a position to fulfill all the demands of buyers across the world. Cur...